Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Mar 11, 2026 ยท 21:18This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
SELL
Model confidence 44.9%
Date predicted
March 12, 2026
Previous close
24927.90$
WAccuracy (10d)
68.7%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
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9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | SELL | SELL | 47.9% | Correct |
| 2026-02-26 | SELL | SELL | 44.9% | Correct |
| 2026-02-27 | BUY | BUY | 72.8% | Correct |
| 2026-03-02 | SELL | SELL | 44.9% | Correct |
| 2026-03-03 | SELL | BUY | 44.9% | Incorrect |
| 2026-03-04 | SELL | SELL | 44.9% | Correct |
| 2026-03-05 | SELL | SELL | 47.5% | Correct |
| 2026-03-06 | SELL | BUY | 47.9% | Incorrect |
| 2026-03-09 | BUY | BUY | 52.9% | Correct |
| 2026-03-10 | SELL | SELL | 44.9% | Correct |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 68.7%
- Precision
- 100.0%
- Recall
- 25.7%
- F1
- 40.9%
- ROC AUC
- 0.579
- Brier
- 0.234
- ECE
- 0.141
- Prob. (today)
- 44.9%