Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Feb 28, 2026 ยท 15:21This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
BUY
Model confidence 76.1%
Date predicted
March 2, 2026
Previous close
24912.40$
WAccuracy (10d)
81.4%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | BUY | BUY | 95.5% | Correct |
| 2026-02-16 | BUY | SELL | 57.4% | Incorrect |
| 2026-02-17 | SELL | BUY | 39.5% | Incorrect |
| 2026-02-18 | SELL | SELL | 38.3% | Correct |
| 2026-02-19 | BUY | BUY | 54.4% | Correct |
| 2026-02-20 | SELL | SELL | 39.5% | Correct |
| 2026-02-23 | BUY | BUY | 57.4% | Correct |
| 2026-02-24 | BUY | BUY | 57.4% | Correct |
| 2026-02-25 | SELL | SELL | 39.5% | Correct |
| 2026-02-26 | SELL | SELL | 39.5% | Correct |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 81.4%
- Precision
- 88.9%
- Recall
- 76.1%
- F1
- 82.0%
- ROC AUC
- 0.825
- Brier
- 0.199
- ECE
- 0.211
- Prob. (today)
- 76.1%