Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Mar 5, 2026 ยท 22:32This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
BUY
Model confidence 65.7%
Date predicted
March 6, 2026
Previous close
24973.60$
WAccuracy (10d)
82.2%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-19 | BUY | BUY | 61.3% | Correct |
| 2026-02-20 | SELL | SELL | 48.6% | Correct |
| 2026-02-23 | BUY | BUY | 61.3% | Correct |
| 2026-02-24 | BUY | BUY | 61.3% | Correct |
| 2026-02-25 | SELL | SELL | 48.6% | Correct |
| 2026-02-26 | SELL | SELL | 48.6% | Correct |
| 2026-02-27 | BUY | BUY | 61.3% | Correct |
| 2026-03-02 | BUY | SELL | 61.3% | Incorrect |
| 2026-03-03 | BUY | BUY | 61.3% | Correct |
| 2026-03-04 | BUY | SELL | 61.3% | Incorrect |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 82.2%
- Precision
- 75.2%
- Recall
- 100.0%
- F1
- 85.8%
- ROC AUC
- 0.806
- Brier
- 0.214
- ECE
- 0.236
- Prob. (today)
- 65.7%