Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Mar 8, 2026 ยท 22:08This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
SELL
Model confidence 47.6%
Date predicted
March 9, 2026
Previous close
24634.30$
WAccuracy (10d)
75.4%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | SELL | SELL | 47.6% | Correct |
| 2026-02-23 | SELL | BUY | 47.6% | Incorrect |
| 2026-02-24 | SELL | BUY | 43.8% | Incorrect |
| 2026-02-25 | SELL | SELL | 34.5% | Correct |
| 2026-02-26 | BUY | SELL | 70.3% | Incorrect |
| 2026-02-27 | BUY | BUY | 70.3% | Correct |
| 2026-03-02 | SELL | SELL | 47.1% | Correct |
| 2026-03-03 | BUY | BUY | 70.3% | Correct |
| 2026-03-04 | SELL | SELL | 34.5% | Correct |
| 2026-03-05 | SELL | SELL | 47.1% | Correct |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 75.4%
- Precision
- 86.1%
- Recall
- 51.5%
- F1
- 64.4%
- ROC AUC
- 0.769
- Brier
- 0.201
- ECE
- 0.157
- Prob. (today)
- 47.6%