Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Feb 24, 2026 ยท 23:27This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
BUY
Model confidence 72.3%
Date predicted
February 25, 2026
Previous close
24671.90$
WAccuracy (10d)
86.0%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-10 | BUY | SELL | 72.3% | Incorrect |
| 2026-02-11 | SELL | SELL | 39.5% | Correct |
| 2026-02-12 | BUY | SELL | 87.0% | Incorrect |
| 2026-02-13 | BUY | BUY | 64.2% | Correct |
| 2026-02-16 | SELL | SELL | 39.5% | Correct |
| 2026-02-17 | BUY | BUY | 63.2% | Correct |
| 2026-02-18 | SELL | SELL | 39.5% | Correct |
| 2026-02-19 | BUY | BUY | 63.2% | Correct |
| 2026-02-20 | SELL | SELL | 39.5% | Correct |
| 2026-02-23 | BUY | SELL | 72.3% | Incorrect |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 86.0%
- Precision
- 69.9%
- Recall
- 100.0%
- F1
- 82.3%
- ROC AUC
- 0.792
- Brier
- 0.212
- ECE
- 0.439
- Prob. (today)
- 72.3%