Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Mar 2, 2026 ยท 23:07This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
BUY
Model confidence 58.9%
Date predicted
March 3, 2026
Previous close
24955.20$
WAccuracy (10d)
95.4%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | SELL | SELL | 27.1% | Correct |
| 2026-02-17 | BUY | BUY | 62.8% | Correct |
| 2026-02-18 | BUY | SELL | 58.9% | Incorrect |
| 2026-02-19 | BUY | BUY | 62.8% | Correct |
| 2026-02-20 | SELL | SELL | 49.9% | Correct |
| 2026-02-23 | BUY | BUY | 62.8% | Correct |
| 2026-02-24 | BUY | BUY | 58.9% | Correct |
| 2026-02-25 | SELL | SELL | 49.9% | Correct |
| 2026-02-26 | SELL | SELL | 49.8% | Correct |
| 2026-02-27 | BUY | BUY | 58.9% | Correct |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 95.4%
- Precision
- 92.3%
- Recall
- 100.0%
- F1
- 96.0%
- ROC AUC
- 0.982
- Brier
- 0.189
- ECE
- 0.374
- Prob. (today)
- 58.9%