Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Mar 9, 2026 ยท 22:41This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
SELL
Model confidence 41.4%
Date predicted
March 10, 2026
Previous close
24872.20$
WAccuracy (10d)
76.0%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | BUY | BUY | 67.0% | Correct |
| 2026-02-24 | SELL | BUY | 37.5% | Incorrect |
| 2026-02-25 | SELL | SELL | 36.4% | Correct |
| 2026-02-26 | BUY | SELL | 77.5% | Incorrect |
| 2026-02-27 | BUY | BUY | 67.0% | Correct |
| 2026-03-02 | SELL | SELL | 39.5% | Correct |
| 2026-03-03 | BUY | BUY | 67.0% | Correct |
| 2026-03-04 | SELL | SELL | 36.4% | Correct |
| 2026-03-05 | SELL | SELL | 41.4% | Correct |
| 2026-03-06 | SELL | BUY | 41.4% | Incorrect |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 76.0%
- Precision
- 90.7%
- Recall
- 61.4%
- F1
- 73.2%
- ROC AUC
- 0.780
- Brier
- 0.198
- ECE
- 0.177
- Prob. (today)
- 41.4%