Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Mar 3, 2026 ยท 22:47This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
SELL
Model confidence 49.1%
Date predicted
March 4, 2026
Previous close
24675.40$
WAccuracy (10d)
83.4%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 | BUY | BUY | 63.1% | Correct |
| 2026-02-18 | BUY | SELL | 59.2% | Incorrect |
| 2026-02-19 | BUY | BUY | 63.1% | Correct |
| 2026-02-20 | SELL | SELL | 50.0% | Correct |
| 2026-02-23 | BUY | BUY | 63.1% | Correct |
| 2026-02-24 | BUY | BUY | 59.2% | Correct |
| 2026-02-25 | SELL | SELL | 50.0% | Correct |
| 2026-02-26 | SELL | SELL | 49.1% | Correct |
| 2026-02-27 | BUY | BUY | 59.2% | Correct |
| 2026-03-02 | BUY | SELL | 59.2% | Incorrect |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 83.4%
- Precision
- 75.5%
- Recall
- 100.0%
- F1
- 86.1%
- ROC AUC
- 0.942
- Brier
- 0.213
- ECE
- 0.313
- Prob. (today)
- 49.1%