Model's Prediction
NASDAQ (IG) Daily Directional Forecast
Published Mar 10, 2026 ยท 21:32This is not a financial recommendation.
Signal
BUY
Model confidence 51.2%
Date predicted
March 11, 2026
Previous close
25002.60$
WAccuracy (10d)
67.3%
Timeline
BUY
SELL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Trading Days
BUY SELL Mismatch
Precisions by category
Correct/Incorrect Predictions on 10 trading days
Accuracy window
| Date | Pred | True | Prob. | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-24 | BUY | BUY | 51.2% | Correct |
| 2026-02-25 | BUY | SELL | 51.2% | Incorrect |
| 2026-02-26 | SELL | SELL | 42.3% | Correct |
| 2026-02-27 | BUY | BUY | 71.5% | Correct |
| 2026-03-02 | SELL | SELL | 49.1% | Correct |
| 2026-03-03 | SELL | BUY | 42.3% | Incorrect |
| 2026-03-04 | SELL | SELL | 42.3% | Correct |
| 2026-03-05 | SELL | SELL | 49.1% | Correct |
| 2026-03-06 | BUY | BUY | 51.2% | Correct |
| 2026-03-09 | BUY | BUY | 52.3% | Correct |
Model snapshot
- Accuracy ?
- 67.3%
- Precision
- 70.6%
- Recall
- 61.2%
- F1
- 65.6%
- ROC AUC
- 0.592
- Brier
- 0.248
- ECE
- 0.134
- Prob. (today)
- 51.2%